Vermont · Game #1866

The Quad

$5per ticket

active · Collected Oct 15, 2026, 9:33 AM EDT

Latest lottery dataData updated Oct 15, 2026

Game summary

What to know about this ticket

Take a closer look ↓

Estimate went upEstimate went downFewer prizesCount changed

Our estimate

Average payout

$18.24

Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $18.24 back for each $5 ticket.

$3.65 back per $1 spent · $13.24 after the ticket cost

Prize pool changed

What does this mean?

Think of a big pile of tickets: this is the prize money per ticket on average. It doesn’t tell you what your next ticket will pay.

Our estimate

Payout without the jackpot

Unavailable

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

Return vs. ticket price, without the jackpot: Unavailable

What does this mean?

Big jackpots can make a ticket's average look much better even though winning one is extremely unlikely. This number shows its estimated value if the biggest prize pays $0.

Why we can’t show it: The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

Our estimate

Chance of Any Prize

Unavailable

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

What does this mean?

This estimates the chance that a remaining ticket has any published prize. A winning ticket may only break even, so this is not your chance of making money.

Why we can’t show it: The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

From the lottery

Top prize

$10,000

1 still unclaimed in the lottery data.

Prize pool changed

What does this mean?

How many of the game's biggest prizes the lottery says are still unclaimed. This does not establish whether tickets are still for sale.

Our estimate

Chance of coming out ahead

Unavailable

There isn’t enough usable data to estimate the chance of a prize above the ticket price.

Our estimate

Chance of the top prize

<0.1%

About 1 in 2,700 remaining tickets. This is an estimate.

Remaining prizes and tickets

What’s left in this game

See every prize amount ↓

Worked out from lottery data

Unclaimed prizes

Not published

From the lottery

Calculated remaining prizes: 1.

Worked out from the model’s count inputs below. The source does not publish a complete remaining count.

Counts include tickets already sold whose prizes haven’t been claimed.

From the lottery

Top prizes left

1Prize pool changed

From the lottery report for this game.

Our estimate

Estimated tickets left

2,700

270,000 tickets printed originally, according to the lottery.

Prize pool changed

Tickets left are an estimate. Unclaimed prizes don’t tell us exactly how many tickets are still for sale.

First on sale: Nov 7, 2025

We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →

Original vs. current

Original and current numbers

See the original numbers next to what we estimate for the tickets left.

Odds of any prize

Original at launch: 1 in 4.3323.1% chance · Lottery-published
Latest estimate: UnavailableCurrent estimate unavailable

Change unavailable — both values are needed.

Average prize payout

Original at launch: UnavailablePer ticket · Worked out from original data
Latest estimate: $18.24Per ticket · PrizeGauge estimate

Change unavailable — both values are needed.

A smaller “1 in” number means a higher chance. Any prize includes prizes that only return the ticket cost. Original odds may be rounded; current values are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Compare the price and average payouts

Here’s how the ticket price compares with the average prize payout we estimate. Your ticket could pay more, less, or nothing.

Ticket costs: $5.00
Estimated average payout: $18.24
Without the top prize: Unavailable

What do these numbers mean?

From the lottery

Published by the lottery.

Worked out from lottery data

Worked out from the lottery’s own numbers.

Our estimate

Our best estimate, using data and assumptions we explain.

Average payout: Think of a big pile of tickets: this is the prize money per ticket on average. It doesn’t tell you what your next ticket will pay.
Return vs. ticket price: How the estimated average payout stacks up against what you spend. A minus sign means the average payout is less than the ticket price.
Payout without the jackpot: Big jackpots can make a ticket's average look much better even though winning one is extremely unlikely. This number shows its estimated value if the biggest prize pays $0.
Chance of Any Prize: This estimates the chance that a remaining ticket has any published prize. A winning ticket may only break even, so this is not your chance of making money.
Top Prizes Left: How many of the game's biggest prizes the lottery says are still unclaimed. This does not establish whether tickets are still for sale.
Estimated Tickets Left: Our estimate of how many tickets may remain. The lottery does not publish this exact number, and sold but unclaimed tickets can affect it.
How reliable is the estimate?: How much trust to put in the estimate. It is not your chance of winning. Unknown means we don’t have a rating.

What does this mean?

Each ticket is a gamble. Better-looking numbers don’t promise a winning ticket.

Take a closer look: prizes, calculations & sources

The numbers behind the ticket

How we work it out →

Our estimate

Estimated average payout today

$18.24

Estimated prize payout per ticket

Our estimate

EV Without the Top Prize

Unavailable

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

Our estimate

ROI Without the Top Prize

Unavailable

How that alternate average payout compares with ticket price

Worked out from lottery data

Original EV

Unavailable

Launch payout from published inputs

Our estimate

Modeled ROI

264.7%

Estimated net return / ticket price

Our estimate

Average payout per $1 spent

$3.65

A 70¢ payout per $1 spent means a 30¢ average loss

Our estimate

Average return after the ticket cost

$13.24

Estimated average prize payout minus the ticket price

From the lottery

Top prizes remaining

Original top prizes: —

Our estimate

Estimated Tickets Left

2,700

An estimate, not an exact count from the lottery

Our estimate

Analytics availability

Launch: insufficient data

Full current EV: available

Without top prize: insufficient data

Chance of any prize: insufficient data

Confidence rating not published

We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →

How this estimate was made

Launch basis: unavailable. Inventory basis: official initial structure.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

Model assumptions

Published percent sold approximates remaining ticket inventory; unclaimed prizes can include sold tickets awaiting claims.

What goes into this estimate

Uses published game totals and the reported share of tickets sold.

Original prize table: partial or unavailable. Remaining prize table: partial or unavailable.

Vermont publishes aggregate unclaimed value and rounded percent sold; lower prize counts and the original full structure are unpublished.

Tickets sold · published: 99.0%
Unclaimed prize value · published: $49,235

See calculated counts and prize-value assumptions

These are the model’s inputs. A calculated or estimated count is separate from the literal count in the prize table.

Count and value inputs considered by the model
Prize wording	Value used	Original count used	Remaining count used
$10,000	$10,000.00Published cash value	—Unavailable	1Published count
$1,000	$1,000.00Published cash value	—Unavailable	0Published count
$500	$500.00Published cash value	—Unavailable	0Published count

The published sold percentage is rounded. The model checks 98.50% to 99.50% sold, giving 1,350 to 4,050 tickets left.

From the official source

The lottery’s prize table

Original overall odds: 1 in 4.33

These are the source’s published rows. A dash means the count is not published. Calculated original totals are labeled, and any derived remaining counts appear separately in the model inputs.

Swipe to see all columns →

Prize amounts and counts from this report. Current odds and average payout contributions, where shown, are estimates.
Prize	Original prizes	Remaining prizes
$10,000 Count sources & details Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint `f9ee0c531506fc30618f970a4f6e58bcc59058c6d6ae230ca6a2abe8d11b57bf`	—	1
$1,000 Count sources & details Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint `f9ee0c531506fc30618f970a4f6e58bcc59058c6d6ae230ca6a2abe8d11b57bf`	—	0
$500 Count sources & details Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint `f9ee0c531506fc30618f970a4f6e58bcc59058c6d6ae230ca6a2abe8d11b57bf`	—	0

About the estimates

Methodology & source

Each lottery publishes different information. We use the available game data and stated assumptions to estimate average payouts and tickets left. An unclaimed prize count is not a count of tickets still for sale.

Published prize observations stay separate from estimates. The model uses this game's reported coverage, ticket inventory and count assumptions; unavailable values retain their source explanations.

How we work it out →

Game history

See how the numbers have changed

A gap means we don’t have a number

We keep the last update of each day, using Eastern Time. If a day has no number, we leave a gap. We don’t fill in guesses.

Past numbers include calculations from archived prize reports. This covers the dates we have collected. 7-day change: insufficient history. 30-day change: insufficient history.

Estimated average payout Our estimate · dollars per ticket

Prize pool changed

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See the daily numbers in a table

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Estimated average payout observations
Date	Estimated average payout	Change from previous day
Oct 14, 2026	$18.33	No daily comparison
Oct 15, 2026	$18.24	Prize pool changed

Prizes remaining Last update of each day · Eastern Time

No daily comparison

We need more daily numbers to chart prizes remaining. At least two days with available values are needed.

See the daily numbers in a table

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Prizes remaining observations
Date	Prizes remaining	Unclaimed count	Total prizes	Change from previous day
Oct 14, 2026	—	—	—	No daily comparison
Oct 15, 2026	—	—	—	No daily comparison

Top prizes remaining From the lottery · published count

Prize pool changed

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See the daily numbers in a table

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Top prizes remaining observations
Date	Top prizes remaining	Change from previous day
Oct 14, 2026	1	No daily comparison
Oct 15, 2026	1	Prize pool changed

Estimated tickets left Our estimate · ticket count

Prize pool changed

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See the daily numbers in a table

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Estimated tickets left observations
Date	Estimated tickets left	Change from previous day
Oct 14, 2026	2,700	No daily comparison
Oct 15, 2026	2,700	Prize pool changed