Average payout
Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $6.96 back for each $10 ticket.
$0.70 back per $1 spent · -$3.04 after the ticket cost
No daily comparisonTexas · Game #2774
Sale status unconfirmed · Lottery report Oct 14, 2026 · Lottery game update Oct 14, 2026
Game summary
Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $6.96 back for each $10 ticket.
$0.70 back per $1 spent · -$3.04 after the ticket cost
No daily comparisonFor a $10 ticket, the estimated average payout is $6.83 when the $250,000 top prize is treated as $0.
Return vs. ticket price, without the jackpot: -31.7%
No daily comparisonAbout 1 in 4.05 remaining tickets
Includes the top prize and prizes that only return your ticket cost. A prize does not necessarily mean a profit.
No daily comparisonThe lottery report doesn’t give a separate top-prize count for this game.
Calculated top prizes left: 4. This is separate from a published remaining count.
A prize worth more than the ticket price. Winning your ticket cost back doesn’t count as coming out ahead.
About 1 in 1,921,550.45 remaining tickets. This is an estimate.
Remaining prizes and tickets
Out of 2,010,395 prizes in the source table.
Calculated remaining prizes: 1,898,892.
Worked out from the model’s count inputs below. The source does not publish a complete remaining count.
Counts include tickets already sold whose prizes haven’t been claimed.
Out of 4 top prizes originally.
Calculated top prizes left: 4.
This uses the model’s count inputs. It is not a published remaining count.
From the lottery report for this game.
About 8,137,550 tickets printed originally, according to the lottery.
No daily comparisonTickets left are an estimate. Unclaimed prizes don’t tell us exactly how many tickets are still for sale.
We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →
Original vs. current
See the original numbers next to what we estimate for the tickets left.
0.01 percentage points higher than launch
Approximately unchanged from launch
A smaller “1 in” number means a higher chance. Any prize includes prizes that only return the ticket cost. Original odds may be rounded; current values are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Here’s how the ticket price compares with the average prize payout we estimate. Your ticket could pay more, less, or nothing.
Published by the lottery.
Worked out from the lottery’s own numbers.
Our best estimate, using data and assumptions we explain.
Estimated prize payout per ticket
Average prize value after treating the biggest prize as $0
How that alternate average payout compares with ticket price
Launch payout with modeled prize valuations
Estimated net return / ticket price
A 70¢ payout per $1 spent means a 30¢ average loss
Estimated average prize payout minus the ticket price
Original top prizes: 4
An estimate, not an exact count from the lottery
Launch: available
Full current EV: available
Without top prize: available
Chance of any prize: available
Confidence rating not published
We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →
Launch basis: official initial structure. Inventory basis: official initial structure.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
Uses the complete prize table and changes in prize counts.
Original prize table: complete. Remaining prize table: complete.
Remaining counts are calculated from official total minus claimed prizes, rather than reported as literal source counts.
2 empty claimed cells are calculated as zero because the complete original row total reconciles and the published TOTAL claimed count equals the sum of every nonblank claimed cell; this is a calculated observation, not a literal published zero.
These are the model’s inputs. A calculated or estimated count is separate from the literal count in the prize table.
| Prize wording | Value used | Original count used | Remaining count used |
|---|---|---|---|
| $10 | $10.00Published cash value | 854,454Published count | 808,143Calculated: original − paid |
| $20 | $20.00Published cash value | 488,242Published count | 460,950Calculated: original − paid |
| $30 | $30.00Published cash value | 366,233Published count | 345,560Calculated: original − paid |
| $50 | $50.00Published cash value | 162,724Published count | 153,348Calculated: original − paid |
| $100 | $100.00Published cash value | 108,596Published count | 102,455Calculated: original − paid |
| $200 | $200.00Published cash value | 27,075Published count | 25,532Calculated: original − paid |
| $500 | $500.00Published cash value | 2,849Published count | 2,691Calculated: original − paid |
| $1,000 | $1,000.00Published cash value | 206Published count | 198Calculated: original − paid |
| $10,000 | $10,000.00Published cash value | 8Published count | 8Calculated: original − paidPaid input calculated from the published report total |
| $50,000 | $50,000.00Published cash value | 4Published count | 3Calculated: original − paid |
| $250,000 | $250,000.00Published cash value | 4Published count | 4Calculated: original − paidPaid input calculated from the published report total |
From the official source
These are the source’s published rows. A dash means the count is not published. Calculated original totals are labeled, and any derived remaining counts appear separately in the model inputs.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Prize | Original prizes | Prizes already paid | Remaining prizes |
|---|---|---|---|
$10Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 854,454 | 46,311 | — |
$20Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 488,242 | 27,292 | — |
$30Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 366,233 | 20,673 | — |
$50Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 162,724 | 9,376 | — |
$100Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 108,596 | 6,141 | — |
$200Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 27,075 | 1,543 | — |
$500Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 2,849 | 158 | — |
$1,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 206 | 8 | — |
$10,000Count sources & detailsPublished paid total: 111,503. Known paid counts add to 111,503 across the report. The 2 blank paid cells are calculated as zero because the published total is fully accounted for. Paid count source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 8 | 0Calculated from published paid total | — |
$50,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 4 | 1 | — |
$250,000Count sources & detailsPublished paid total: 111,503. Known paid counts add to 111,503 across the report. The 2 blank paid cells are calculated as zero because the published total is fully accounted for. Paid count source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 4 | 0Calculated from published paid total | — |
About the estimates
Each lottery publishes different information. We use the available game data and stated assumptions to estimate average payouts and tickets left. An unclaimed prize count is not a count of tickets still for sale.
Published prize observations stay separate from estimates. The model uses this game's reported coverage, ticket inventory and count assumptions; unavailable values retain their source explanations.
How we work it out →Game history
We keep the last update of each day, using Central Time. If a day has no number, we leave a gap. We don’t fill in guesses.
Past numbers include calculations from archived prize reports. This covers the dates we have collected. 7-day change: insufficient history. 30-day change: insufficient history.
We need more daily numbers to chart estimated average payout. At least two days with available values are needed.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Date | Estimated average payout | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | — | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | $6.96 | No daily comparison |
We need more daily numbers to chart prizes remaining. At least two days with available values are needed.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Date | Prizes remaining | Unclaimed count | Total prizes | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | — | — | 2,010,395 | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | — | 2,010,395 | No daily comparison |
We need more daily numbers to chart top prizes remaining. At least two days with available values are needed.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Date | Top prizes remaining | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | — | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | No daily comparison |
We need more daily numbers to chart estimated tickets left. At least two days with available values are needed.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Date | Estimated tickets left | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | — | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 7,686,202 | No daily comparison |