Average payout
Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $15.00 back for each $20 ticket.
$0.75 back per $1 spent · -$5.00 after the ticket cost
<$0.01 highervs Oct 14, 2026Texas · Game #2764
Sale status unconfirmed · Lottery report Oct 14, 2026 · Lottery game update Oct 14, 2026
Game summary
Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $15.00 back for each $20 ticket.
$0.75 back per $1 spent · -$5.00 after the ticket cost
<$0.01 highervs Oct 14, 2026For a $20 ticket, the estimated average payout is $14.61 when the $1,000,000 top prize is treated as $0.
Return vs. ticket price, without the jackpot: -27.0%
<$0.01 highervs Oct 14, 2026About 1 in 3.29 remaining tickets
Includes the top prize and prizes that only return your ticket cost. A prize does not necessarily mean a profit.
<0.01 points lowervs Oct 14, 2026The lottery report doesn’t give a separate top-prize count for this game.
Calculated top prizes left: 9. This is separate from a published remaining count.
A prize worth more than the ticket price. Winning your ticket cost back doesn’t count as coming out ahead.
About 1 in 2,560,150.55 remaining tickets. This is an estimate.
Remaining prizes and tickets
Out of 7,818,028 prizes in the source table.
Calculated remaining prizes: 7,008,789.
Worked out from the model’s count inputs below. The source does not publish a complete remaining count.
Counts include tickets already sold whose prizes haven’t been claimed.
Out of 10 top prizes originally.
Calculated top prizes left: 9.
This uses the model’s count inputs. It is not a published remaining count.
From the lottery report for this game.
About 25,701,775 tickets printed originally, according to the lottery.
42,930 fewervs Oct 14, 2026Tickets left are an estimate. Unclaimed prizes don’t tell us exactly how many tickets are still for sale.
We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →
Original vs. current
See the original numbers next to what we estimate for the tickets left.
0.02 percentage points higher than launch
Approximately unchanged from launch
A smaller “1 in” number means a higher chance. Any prize includes prizes that only return the ticket cost. Original odds may be rounded; current values are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Here’s how the ticket price compares with the average prize payout we estimate. Your ticket could pay more, less, or nothing.
Published by the lottery.
Worked out from the lottery’s own numbers.
Our best estimate, using data and assumptions we explain.
Estimated prize payout per ticket
Average prize value after treating the biggest prize as $0
How that alternate average payout compares with ticket price
Launch payout with modeled prize valuations
Estimated net return / ticket price
A 70¢ payout per $1 spent means a 30¢ average loss
Estimated average prize payout minus the ticket price
Original top prizes: 10
An estimate, not an exact count from the lottery
Launch: available
Full current EV: available
Without top prize: available
Chance of any prize: available
Confidence rating not published
We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →
Launch basis: official initial structure. Inventory basis: official initial structure.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
Uses the complete prize table and changes in prize counts.
Original prize table: complete. Remaining prize table: complete.
Remaining counts are calculated from official total minus claimed prizes, rather than reported as literal source counts.
These are the model’s inputs. A calculated or estimated count is separate from the literal count in the prize table.
| Prize wording | Value used | Original count used | Remaining count used |
|---|---|---|---|
| $20 | $20.00Published cash value | 3,084,150Published count | 2,766,271Calculated: original − paid |
| $30 | $30.00Published cash value | 1,799,106Published count | 1,612,784Calculated: original − paid |
| $40 | $40.00Published cash value | 514,059Published count | 460,578Calculated: original − paid |
| $50 | $50.00Published cash value | 1,028,071Published count | 921,093Calculated: original − paid |
| $100 | $100.00Published cash value | 919,945Published count | 824,408Calculated: original − paid |
| $150 | $150.00Published cash value | 205,886Published count | 184,435Calculated: original − paid |
| $200 | $200.00Published cash value | 185,051Published count | 165,821Calculated: original − paid |
| $250 | $250.00Published cash value | 66,748Published count | 59,897Calculated: original − paid |
| $500 | $500.00Published cash value | 12,035Published count | 10,798Calculated: original − paid |
| $1,000 | $1,000.00Published cash value | 2,581Published count | 2,335Calculated: original − paid |
| $5,000 | $5,000.00Published cash value | 343Published count | 319Calculated: original − paid |
| $20,000 | $20,000.00Published cash value | 43Published count | 41Calculated: original − paid |
| $1,000,000 | $1,000,000.00Published cash value | 10Published count | 9Calculated: original − paid |
From the official source
These are the source’s published rows. A dash means the count is not published. Calculated original totals are labeled, and any derived remaining counts appear separately in the model inputs.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Prize | Original prizes | Prizes already paid | Remaining prizes |
|---|---|---|---|
$20Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 3,084,150 | 317,879 | — |
$30Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 1,799,106 | 186,322 | — |
$40Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 514,059 | 53,481 | — |
$50Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 1,028,071 | 106,978 | — |
$100Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 919,945 | 95,537 | — |
$150Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 205,886 | 21,451 | — |
$200Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 185,051 | 19,230 | — |
$250Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 66,748 | 6,851 | — |
$500Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 12,035 | 1,237 | — |
$1,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 2,581 | 246 | — |
$5,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 343 | 24 | — |
$20,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 43 | 2 | — |
$1,000,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC Response fingerprint3195bc541ed84b1f3e89c534b691519a298a0faddb32fdfcf3af3ff874be4e91 | 10 | 1 | — |
About the estimates
Each lottery publishes different information. We use the available game data and stated assumptions to estimate average payouts and tickets left. An unclaimed prize count is not a count of tickets still for sale.
Published prize observations stay separate from estimates. The model uses this game's reported coverage, ticket inventory and count assumptions; unavailable values retain their source explanations.
How we work it out →Game history
We keep the last update of each day, using Central Time. If a day has no number, we leave a gap. We don’t fill in guesses.
Past numbers include calculations from archived prize reports. This covers the dates we have collected. 7-day change: insufficient history. 30-day change: insufficient history.
Extra decimals show estimate changes smaller than 1¢. We calculate daily changes before rounding.
Swipe across the chart →
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| Date | Estimated average payout | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | $14.9974 | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | $14.9983 | $0.0009 higher compared with Oct 14, 2026 |
We need more daily numbers to chart prizes remaining. At least two days with available values are needed.
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| Date | Prizes remaining | Unclaimed count | Total prizes | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | — | — | 7,818,028 | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | — | 7,818,028 | No daily comparison |
We need more daily numbers to chart top prizes remaining. At least two days with available values are needed.
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| Date | Top prizes remaining | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | — | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | — | No daily comparison |
Swipe across the chart →
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| Date | Estimated tickets left | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 23,084,285 | No daily comparison |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 23,041,355 | 42,930 fewer compared with Oct 14, 2026 |