HOLIDAY BLOWOUT! scratch-off ticket

Michigan · Game #777

HOLIDAY BLOWOUT!

$20per ticket

Collected Oct 27, 2026, 1:36 AM EDT

Official lottery data Top prizes unclaimed: 8,108

Published site dataSite data published Oct 27, 2026

Game summary

What to know about this ticket

Take a closer look ↓
Estimate went upEstimate went downFewer prizesCount changed
PrizeGauge estimate

Estimated average payout

$15.41

Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $15.41 back for each $20 ticket.

$0.77 back per $1 spent · -$4.59 after the ticket cost

What does this mean?
Think of a big pile of tickets: this is the prize money per ticket on average. It doesn’t tell you what your next ticket will pay.
PrizeGauge estimate

Return compared with ticket price

-22.9%

A minus sign means the estimated average payout is below the ticket cost. It does not predict the result of one ticket.

PrizeGauge estimate

Chance of Any Prize

11.8%

About 1 in 8.48 remaining tickets

Includes the top prize and prizes that only return your ticket cost. A prize does not necessarily mean a profit.

What does this mean?
This estimates the chance that a remaining ticket has any published prize. A winning ticket may only break even, so this is not your chance of making money.
PrizeGauge estimate

Chance of coming out ahead

11.8%

Estimated chance of a prize worth more than the ticket price. Getting your ticket cost back does not count.

PrizeGauge estimate

Payout without the jackpot

$13.75

For a $20 ticket, the estimated average payout is $13.75 when the $500 top prize is treated as $0.

Return vs. ticket price, without the jackpot: -31.2%

What does this mean?
Big jackpots can make a ticket's average look much better even though winning one is extremely unlikely. This number shows its estimated value if the biggest prize pays $0.
Official lottery data

Top prize

$500

8,108 still unclaimed in the lottery data.

What does this mean?
How many of the game's biggest prizes the lottery says are still unclaimed. This does not establish whether tickets are still for sale.
PrizeGauge estimate

Chance of the top prize

0.3%

About 1 in 301.78 remaining tickets. This is an estimate.

Remaining prizes and tickets

What’s left in this game

See every prize amount ↓
Calculated from lottery data

Unclaimed prizes

288,545

Out of 288,545 prizes in the source table.

100.0% left

Counts include tickets already sold whose prizes haven’t been claimed.

Official lottery data

Top prizes left

8,108

Out of 8,108 top prizes originally.

100.0% left0 no longer remaining

From the lottery report for this game.

PrizeGauge estimate

Estimated tickets left

2,446,862

2,446,862 tickets estimated at the start.

Tickets left are an estimate. Unclaimed prizes don’t tell us exactly how many tickets are still for sale.

First on sale
Oct 27, 2026

We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →

Original vs. current

Original and current numbers

Original figures alongside the latest prize counts and estimates.

How we work out the original chance of coming out ahead

We count only original prizes worth more than the ticket price. Getting your money back does not count.

PrizeGauge estimate

This uses an original batch of 2,446,862 tickets, based on an estimate.

The original ticket population is estimated or approximate.

Original records: Source 1

Odds of any prize

Original at launch
1 in 8.4811.8% chance · Lottery-published
Latest estimate
1 in 8.4811.8% chance · PrizeGauge estimate

Unchanged from launch

Average prize payout

Original at launch
$15.41Per ticket · Estimate using original data
Latest estimate
$15.41Per ticket · PrizeGauge estimate

Unchanged from launch

Return compared with ticket price

Original at launch
-22.9%Original estimate · compared with ticket price
Latest estimate
-22.9%PrizeGauge estimate

Unchanged from launch

Chance of coming out ahead

Original at launch
11.8%Original estimate · excludes break-even prizes
Latest estimate
11.8%PrizeGauge estimate · excludes break-even prizes

Unchanged from launch

Top prizes

Original at launch
8,108Published original count
Latest reported count
8,108Published unclaimed count · may include sold tickets

Counts describe prizes, not the chance of winning.

A smaller “1 in” number means a higher chance. Any prize includes prizes that only return the ticket cost. Original odds may be rounded; current values are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Compare the price and average payouts

Here’s how the ticket price compares with the average prize payout we estimate. Your ticket could pay more, less, or nothing.

Ticket costs
$20.00
Estimated average payout
$15.41
Without the top prize
$13.75
What do these numbers mean?
Official lottery data

Published by the lottery.

Calculated from lottery data

Worked out from the lottery’s own numbers.

PrizeGauge estimate

Our best estimate, using data and assumptions we explain.

Average payout
Think of a big pile of tickets: this is the prize money per ticket on average. It doesn’t tell you what your next ticket will pay.
Return vs. ticket price
How the estimated average payout stacks up against what you spend. A minus sign means the average payout is less than the ticket price.
Payout without the jackpot
Big jackpots can make a ticket's average look much better even though winning one is extremely unlikely. This number shows its estimated value if the biggest prize pays $0.
Chance of Any Prize
This estimates the chance that a remaining ticket has any published prize. A winning ticket may only break even, so this is not your chance of making money.
Chance of coming out ahead
The estimated chance of a prize worth more than the ticket price. Getting your ticket cost back does not count.
Top Prizes Left
How many of the game's biggest prizes the lottery says are still unclaimed. This does not establish whether tickets are still for sale.
Estimated Tickets Left
Our estimate of how many tickets may remain. The lottery does not publish this exact number, and sold but unclaimed tickets can affect it.
How reliable is the estimate?
How much trust to put in the estimate. It is not your chance of winning.
What does this mean?
Each ticket is a gamble. Better-looking numbers don’t promise a winning ticket.

Prize-by-prize estimates

Estimated odds for each prize

The chance of each prize for the tickets estimated to remain. These are estimates, not the lottery’s original odds.

Swipe to see odds and chances →

Estimated odds and prize counts for HOLIDAY BLOWOUT!
PrizeEstimated oddsPrizes leftChance
$1001 in 10.91224,3329.16815%
$2001 in 43.6156,1052.29294%
$5001 in 301.788,1080.33136%

These odds use estimated tickets left. Some prize counts are estimated too. A winning ticket may already have been sold but not claimed. Swipe the table to see every column on a phone.

Unclaimed prizes by prize amount

These bars show the share of original prizes still unclaimed. They are not your chance of winning. Some unclaimed prizes may already be on sold tickets.

$100

Official lottery data

224,332 unclaimed · 224,332 originally

100.0% unclaimed

$200

Official lottery data

56,105 unclaimed · 56,105 originally

100.0% unclaimed

$500

Official lottery data

8,108 unclaimed · 8,108 originally

100.0% unclaimed

Game history

See how the numbers have changed

We keep the last update of each day, using Eastern Time.

Total unclaimed prizes Last update of each day · Eastern Time
See the daily numbers in a table

Swipe to see all columns →

Total unclaimed prizes observations
DateTotal unclaimed prizesChange from previous day
Oct 27, 2026288,545

About the data

The source does not confirm that tickets are currently on sale. Check availability with your retailer.

History uses recorded values only. Missing days or changes in calculation leave gaps; charts need at least two days of figures.

Past numbers preserve the estimates published on each day. This covers the dates we have collected. 7-day change: insufficient history. 30-day change: insufficient history.

Periods end on the latest recorded day, which may be earlier than today.

Take a closer look: prizes, calculations & sources

The numbers behind the ticket

How we work it out →
PrizeGauge estimate

Estimated average payout today

$15.41

Estimated prize payout per ticket

PrizeGauge estimate

EV Without the Top Prize

$13.75

Average prize value after treating the biggest prize as $0

PrizeGauge estimate

ROI Without the Top Prize

-31.2%

How that alternate average payout compares with ticket price

PrizeGauge estimate

Original EV

$15.41

Launch payout with modeled prize valuations

PrizeGauge estimate

Modeled ROI

-22.9%

Estimated net return / ticket price

PrizeGauge estimate

Average payout per $1 spent

$0.77

A 70¢ payout per $1 spent means a 30¢ average loss

PrizeGauge estimate

Average return after the ticket cost

-$4.59

Estimated average prize payout minus the ticket price

Official lottery data

Top prizes remaining

8,108

Original top prizes: 8,108

PrizeGauge estimate

Estimated Tickets Left

2,446,862

An estimate, not an exact count from the lottery

We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →

How this estimate was made

Launch basis: published inception odds. Inventory basis: inferred from prize odds.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

Model assumptions
  • The complete original winning-prize counts and published overall odds describe one unchanged print cohort.
  • At least two tiers with 500 or more original prizes estimate remaining ticket inventory, weighted by original prize count; prize claims can lag ticket sales.

What goes into this estimate

Uses the complete prize table and changes in prize counts.

See calculated counts and prize-value assumptions

These are the model’s inputs. A calculated or estimated count is separate from the literal count in the prize table.

Count and value inputs considered by the model
Prize wordingValue usedOriginal count usedRemaining count used
$100$100.00Published cash value224,332Published count224,332Published count
$200$200.00Published cash value56,105Published count56,105Published count
$500$500.00Published cash value8,108Published count8,108Published count

From the official source

The lottery’s prize table

Original overall odds: 1 in 8.48

Prize amounts and reported counts from the lottery. Calculated totals and source-estimated counts are labeled.

Swipe to see all columns →

Prize amounts and counts from this report. Current odds and average payout contributions, where shown, are estimates.
PrizeOriginal prizesRemaining prizes
$100
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 27, 2026, 5:36 AM UTC
Response fingerprint71377cfb260c0955d2b49cfb2e925aa7bcfecc8d1045e78b5e4b23b263b7e7dc
224,332224,332100.0% of 224,332 left
$200
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 27, 2026, 5:36 AM UTC
Response fingerprint71377cfb260c0955d2b49cfb2e925aa7bcfecc8d1045e78b5e4b23b263b7e7dc
56,10556,105100.0% of 56,105 left
$500
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 27, 2026, 5:36 AM UTC
Response fingerprint71377cfb260c0955d2b49cfb2e925aa7bcfecc8d1045e78b5e4b23b263b7e7dc
8,1088,108100.0% of 8,108 left

About the estimates

Methodology & source

Each lottery publishes different information. We use the available game data and stated assumptions to estimate average payouts and tickets left. An unclaimed prize count is not a count of tickets still for sale.

How we work it out →