Massachusetts · Game #525

$50,000 Star Cashword

$2per ticket

Sale status unconfirmed · Collected Oct 15, 2026, 9:16 AM EDT

Latest lottery dataData updated Oct 15, 2026

Game summary

What to know about this ticket

Take a closer look ↓
Estimate went upEstimate went downFewer prizesCount changed
Our estimate

Average payout

$1.46

Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $1.46 back for each $2 ticket.

$0.73 back per $1 spent · -$0.54 after the ticket cost

<$0.01 lowervs Oct 14, 2026
What does this mean?
Think of a big pile of tickets: this is the prize money per ticket on average. It doesn’t tell you what your next ticket will pay.
Our estimate

Payout without the jackpot

$1.41

For a $2 ticket, the estimated average payout is $1.41 when the $50,000 top prize is treated as $0.

Return vs. ticket price, without the jackpot: -29.6%

<$0.01 lowervs Oct 14, 2026
What does this mean?
Big jackpots can make a ticket's average look much better even though winning one is extremely unlikely. This number shows its estimated value if the biggest prize pays $0.
Our estimate

Chance of Any Prize

23.6%

About 1 in 4.23 remaining tickets

Includes the top prize and prizes that only return your ticket cost. A prize does not necessarily mean a profit.

<0.01 points highervs Oct 14, 2026
What does this mean?
This estimates the chance that a remaining ticket has any published prize. A winning ticket may only break even, so this is not your chance of making money.
From the lottery

Top prize

$50,000

11 still unclaimed in the lottery data.

No changevs Oct 14, 2026
What does this mean?
How many of the game's biggest prizes the lottery says are still unclaimed. This does not establish whether tickets are still for sale.
Our estimate

Chance of coming out ahead

13.6%

A prize worth more than the ticket price. Winning your ticket cost back doesn’t count as coming out ahead.

Our estimate

Chance of the top prize

<0.1%

About 1 in 960,731.85 remaining tickets. This is an estimate.

Remaining prizes and tickets

What’s left in this game

See every prize amount ↓
Worked out from lottery data

Unclaimed prizes

2,497,525

Out of 3,573,270 prizes in the source table.

69.9% left1,075,745 already paid

377 fewervs Oct 14, 2026

Counts include tickets already sold whose prizes haven’t been claimed.

From the lottery

Top prizes left

11

Out of 15 top prizes originally.

73.3% left4 no longer remaining

No changevs Oct 14, 2026

From the lottery report for this game.

Our estimate

Estimated tickets left

10,568,050

About 15,120,000 tickets printed originally, according to the lottery.

1,595 fewervs Oct 14, 2026

Tickets left are an estimate. Unclaimed prizes don’t tell us exactly how many tickets are still for sale.

First on sale
Apr 10, 2026

We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →

Original vs. current

Original and current numbers

See the original numbers next to what we estimate for the tickets left.

Odds of any prize

Original at launch
1 in 4.2323.6% chance · Lottery-published
Latest estimate
1 in 4.2323.6% chance · PrizeGauge estimate

0.01 percentage points lower than launch

Average prize payout

Original at launch
$1.46Per ticket · Estimate using original data
Latest estimate
$1.46Per ticket · PrizeGauge estimate

Approximately unchanged from launch

A smaller “1 in” number means a higher chance. Any prize includes prizes that only return the ticket cost. Original odds may be rounded; current values are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Compare the price and average payouts

Here’s how the ticket price compares with the average prize payout we estimate. Your ticket could pay more, less, or nothing.

Ticket costs
$2.00
Estimated average payout
$1.46
Without the top prize
$1.41
What do these numbers mean?
From the lottery

Published by the lottery.

Worked out from lottery data

Worked out from the lottery’s own numbers.

Our estimate

Our best estimate, using data and assumptions we explain.

Average payout
Think of a big pile of tickets: this is the prize money per ticket on average. It doesn’t tell you what your next ticket will pay.
Return vs. ticket price
How the estimated average payout stacks up against what you spend. A minus sign means the average payout is less than the ticket price.
Payout without the jackpot
Big jackpots can make a ticket's average look much better even though winning one is extremely unlikely. This number shows its estimated value if the biggest prize pays $0.
Chance of Any Prize
This estimates the chance that a remaining ticket has any published prize. A winning ticket may only break even, so this is not your chance of making money.
Top Prizes Left
How many of the game's biggest prizes the lottery says are still unclaimed. This does not establish whether tickets are still for sale.
Estimated Tickets Left
Our estimate of how many tickets may remain. The lottery does not publish this exact number, and sold but unclaimed tickets can affect it.
How reliable is the estimate?
How much trust to put in the estimate. It is not your chance of winning. Unknown means we don’t have a rating.
What does this mean?
Each ticket is a gamble. Better-looking numbers don’t promise a winning ticket.
Take a closer look: prizes, calculations & sources

The numbers behind the ticket

How we work it out →
Our estimate

Estimated average payout today

$1.46

Estimated prize payout per ticket

Our estimate

EV Without the Top Prize

$1.41

Average prize value after treating the biggest prize as $0

Our estimate

ROI Without the Top Prize

-29.6%

How that alternate average payout compares with ticket price

Our estimate

Original EV

$1.46

Launch payout with modeled prize valuations

Our estimate

Modeled ROI

-27.0%

Estimated net return / ticket price

Our estimate

Average payout per $1 spent

$0.73

A 70¢ payout per $1 spent means a 30¢ average loss

Our estimate

Average return after the ticket cost

-$0.54

Estimated average prize payout minus the ticket price

From the lottery

Top prizes remaining

11

Original top prizes: 15

Our estimate

Estimated Tickets Left

10,568,050

An estimate, not an exact count from the lottery

Our estimate

Analytics availability

Launch: available

Full current EV: available

Without top prize: available

Chance of any prize: available

Confidence rating not published

We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →

How this estimate was made

Launch basis: official initial structure. Inventory basis: official initial structure.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.

Model assumptions
  • At least two tiers with 500 or more original prizes estimate remaining ticket inventory, weighted by original prize count; prize claims can lag ticket sales.

What goes into this estimate

Uses the complete prize table and changes in prize counts.

Original prize table: complete. Remaining prize table: complete.

See calculated counts and prize-value assumptions

These are the model’s inputs. A calculated or estimated count is separate from the literal count in the prize table.

Count and value inputs considered by the model
Prize wordingValue usedOriginal count usedRemaining count used
$5$5.00Published cash value362,880Published count252,960Published count
$10$10.00Published cash value302,400Published count210,400Published count
$20$20.00Published cash value241,920Published count168,212Published count
$50$50.00Published cash value29,400Published count20,450Published count
$100$100.00Published cash value10,290Published count7,226Published count
$200$200.00Published cash value4,200Published count2,957Published count
$2$2.00Published cash value1,512,000Published count1,058,618Published count
$4$4.00Published cash value1,108,800Published count775,738Published count
$500$500.00Published cash value1,050Published count728Published count
$1,000$1,000.00Published cash value315Published count225Published count
$50,000$50,000.00Published cash value15Published count11Published count

From the official source

The lottery’s prize table

Original overall odds: 1 in 4.23

These are the source’s published rows. A dash means the count is not published. Calculated original totals are labeled, and any derived remaining counts appear separately in the model inputs.

Swipe to see all columns →

Prize amounts and counts from this report. Current odds and average payout contributions, where shown, are estimates.
PrizeOriginal prizesPrizes already paidOriginal odds · from lotteryRemaining prizes
$5
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
362,880109,9201 in 41.67252,96069.7% of 362,880 left
$10
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
302,40092,0001 in 50210,40069.6% of 302,400 left
$20
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
241,92073,7081 in 62.5168,21269.5% of 241,920 left
$50
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
29,4008,9501 in 514.2920,45069.6% of 29,400 left
$100
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
10,2903,0641 in 1,469.397,22670.2% of 10,290 left
$200
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
4,2001,2431 in 3,6002,95770.4% of 4,200 left
$2
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
1,512,000453,3821 in 101,058,61870.0% of 1,512,000 left
$4
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
1,108,800333,0621 in 13.64775,73870.0% of 1,108,800 left
$500
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
1,0503221 in 14,40072869.3% of 1,050 left
$1,000
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
315901 in 48,00022571.4% of 315 left
$50,000
Count sources & details
Prize row source →Retrieved Oct 15, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC
Response fingerprint6aeb52152f1eb7e36213275b587e3c5603b998cb3156b15d083c225fe115c67a
1541 in 1,008,0001173.3% of 15 left

About the estimates

Methodology & source

Each lottery publishes different information. We use the available game data and stated assumptions to estimate average payouts and tickets left. An unclaimed prize count is not a count of tickets still for sale.

Published prize observations stay separate from estimates. The model uses this game's reported coverage, ticket inventory and count assumptions; unavailable values retain their source explanations.

How we work it out →

Game history

See how the numbers have changed

A gap means we don’t have a number

We keep the last update of each day, using Eastern Time. If a day has no number, we leave a gap. We don’t fill in guesses.

Past numbers include calculations from archived prize reports. This covers the dates we have collected. 7-day change: insufficient history. 30-day change: insufficient history.

Estimated average payout Our estimate · dollars per ticket
<$0.0001 lowervs Oct 14, 2026

Extra decimals show estimate changes smaller than 1¢. We calculate daily changes before rounding.

Swipe across the chart →

$1.4592$1.4596$1.4601Original average payout $1.4593Oct 14, 2026: $1.4600Oct 15, 2026: $1.4599Oct 14, 2026Oct 15, 2026
See the daily numbers in a table

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Estimated average payout observations
DateEstimated average payoutChange from previous day
Oct 14, 2026$1.4600No daily comparison
Oct 15, 2026$1.4599<$0.0001 lower compared with Oct 14, 2026
Prizes remaining From the daily prize table · count and share left

2,497,525 prizes left3,573,270 total · 69.9% left · Oct 15, 2026

377 fewervs Oct 14, 2026

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69.9%69.9%69.9%Oct 14, 2026: 69.9%Oct 15, 2026: 69.9%Oct 14, 2026Oct 15, 2026
See the daily numbers in a table

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Prizes remaining observations
DatePrizes remainingUnclaimed countTotal prizesChange from previous day
Oct 14, 202669.9%2,497,9023,573,270No daily comparison
Oct 15, 202669.9%2,497,5253,573,270377 fewer compared with Oct 14, 2026
Top prizes remaining From the lottery · published count
No changevs Oct 14, 2026

Swipe across the chart →

10.81111.2Oct 14, 2026: 11Oct 15, 2026: 11Oct 14, 2026Oct 15, 2026
See the daily numbers in a table

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Top prizes remaining observations
DateTop prizes remainingChange from previous day
Oct 14, 202611No daily comparison
Oct 15, 202611No change compared with Oct 14, 2026
Estimated tickets left Our estimate · ticket count
1,595 fewervs Oct 14, 2026

Swipe across the chart →

10.57M10.57M10.57MOct 14, 2026: 10,569,646Oct 15, 2026: 10,568,050Oct 14, 2026Oct 15, 2026
See the daily numbers in a table

Swipe to see all columns →

Estimated tickets left observations
DateEstimated tickets leftChange from previous day
Oct 14, 202610,569,646No daily comparison
Oct 15, 202610,568,0501,595 fewer compared with Oct 14, 2026