Estimated average payout
Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $14.71 back for each $20 ticket.
$0.74 back per $1 spent · -$5.29 after the ticket cost
No changevs Oct 22, 2026Sale status unknown · Lottery report Oct 21, 2026 · Lottery game update Oct 21, 2026
The source does not confirm that tickets are currently on sale. Unclaimed prizes do not establish ticket availability.
Official lottery data Top prizes unclaimed: 2
Game summary
Estimate confidence: Unknown — a reliability rating, not your chance of winning.
Across lots of tickets, we estimate an average of $14.71 back for each $20 ticket.
$0.74 back per $1 spent · -$5.29 after the ticket cost
No changevs Oct 22, 2026A minus sign means the estimated average payout is below the ticket cost. It does not predict the result of one ticket.
About 1 in 3.91 remaining tickets
Includes the top prize and prizes that only return your ticket cost. A prize does not necessarily mean a profit.
No changevs Oct 22, 2026Estimated chance of a prize worth more than the ticket price. Getting your ticket cost back does not count.
For a $20 ticket, the estimated average payout is $13.69 when the $500,000 top prize is treated as $0.
Return vs. ticket price, without the jackpot: -31.6%
No changevs Oct 22, 20262 still unclaimed in the lottery data.
No changevs Oct 22, 2026About 1 in 488,533 remaining tickets. This is an estimate.
Remaining prizes and tickets
Counts include tickets already sold whose prizes haven’t been claimed.
From the lottery report for this game.
Tickets left are an estimate. Unclaimed prizes don’t tell us exactly how many tickets are still for sale.
We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →
Original vs. current
See the original numbers next to what we estimate for the tickets left.
We count only original prizes worth more than the ticket price. Getting your money back does not count.
An original ticket count is not available for this calculation.
Original records: Source 1
Unchanged from launch
Change unavailable — both values are needed.
Change unavailable — both values are needed.
Change unavailable — both values are needed.
Counts describe prizes, not the chance of winning.
A smaller “1 in” number means a higher chance. Any prize includes prizes that only return the ticket cost. Original odds may be rounded; current values are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Here’s how the ticket price compares with the average prize payout we estimate. Your ticket could pay more, less, or nothing.
Published by the lottery.
Worked out from the lottery’s own numbers.
Our best estimate, using data and assumptions we explain.
Prize-by-prize estimates
The chance of each prize for the tickets estimated to remain. These are estimates, not the lottery’s original odds.
Swipe to see odds and chances →
| Prize | Estimated odds | Prizes left | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | 1 in 488,533 | 2 | 0.00020% |
| $5,000 | 1 in 6,344.58 | 154 | 0.01576% |
| $500 | 1 in 113.31 | 8,623 | 0.88254% |
| $200 | 1 in 813.54 | 1,201 | 0.12292% |
| $100 | 1 in 80.21 | 12,182 | 1.24679% |
| $50 | 1 in 30.04 | 32,525 | 3.32884% |
| $40 | 1 in 14.99 | 65,182 | 6.67120% |
| $20 | 1 in 7.51 | 130,020 | 13.30719% |
These odds use estimated tickets left. Some prize counts are estimated too. A winning ticket may already have been sold but not claimed. Swipe the table to see every column on a phone.
These bars show the share of original prizes still unclaimed. They are not your chance of winning. Some unclaimed prizes may already be on sold tickets.
2 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
154 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
8,623 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
1,201 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
12,182 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
32,525 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
65,182 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
130,020 unclaimed of — originally
Remaining share unavailable: matching original and current counts are needed.
Estimated prize payout per ticket
Average prize value after treating the biggest prize as $0
How that alternate average payout compares with ticket price
Launch payout from published inputs
Estimated net return / ticket price
A 70¢ payout per $1 spent means a 30¢ average loss
Estimated average prize payout minus the ticket price
Original top prizes: —
An estimate, not an exact count from the lottery
Launch: insufficient data
Full current EV: available
Without top prize: available
Chance of any prize: available
Confidence rating not published
We use lottery data to estimate average payouts and tickets left. These are estimates, not promises about your next ticket. See how we work it out →
Launch basis: unavailable. Inventory basis: inferred from prize odds.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
The lottery reports don’t give us enough reliable information to show this number.
Uses remaining prizes and assumes the original winning rate still applies.
Original prize table: partial or unavailable. Remaining prize table: complete.
Kentucky publishes remaining prizes but no original prize counts. Current ticket inventory is an estimate, not an observed count.
Sale availability comes from the official Kentucky Available Scratch-Off Games listing; published sale and claim dates take precedence.
These are the model’s inputs. A calculated or estimated count is separate from the literal count in the prize table.
| Prize wording | Value used | Original count used | Remaining count used |
|---|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | $500,000.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 2Published count |
| $5,000 | $5,000.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 154Published count |
| $500 | $500.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 8,623Published count |
| $200 | $200.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 1,201Published count |
| $100 | $100.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 12,182Published count |
| $50 | $50.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 32,525Published count |
| $40 | $40.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 65,182Published count |
| $20 | $20.00Published cash value | —Unavailable | 130,020Published count |
From the official source
These are the source’s retained rows. A dash means the count is unavailable or the sources disagree. Calculated original totals are labeled, and any derived remaining counts appear separately in the model inputs.
Swipe to see all columns →
| Prize | Original prizes | Remaining prizes |
|---|---|---|
$500,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 2 |
$5,000Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 154 |
$500Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 8,623 |
$200Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 1,201 |
$100Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 12,182 |
$50Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 32,525 |
$40Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 65,182 |
$20Count sources & detailsPrize row source →Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC Response fingerprint6712a79dae633d21d6f01d2e709cfd7af0134c5f836a3ff8cf41dfd958d67057 | — | 130,020 |
About the estimates
Each lottery publishes different information. We use the available game data and stated assumptions to estimate average payouts and tickets left. An unclaimed prize count is not a count of tickets still for sale.
Published prize observations stay separate from estimates. The model uses this game's reported coverage, ticket inventory and count assumptions; unavailable values retain their source explanations.
How we work it out →Game history
We keep the last update of each day, using Eastern Time. If a day has no number, we leave a gap. We don’t fill in guesses.
Past numbers preserve the estimates published on each day. This covers the dates we have collected. 7-day change: insufficient history. 30-day change: insufficient history.
Periods end on the latest recorded day, which may be earlier than today.
Swipe across the chart →
Swipe to see all columns →
| Date | Estimated tickets left | Change from previous day |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | 977,066 | No daily comparison |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 977,066 | No change compared with Oct 22, 2026 |
Dates show when a change was observed, not when a ticket was sold or a prize claimed.
No meaningful, comparable daily changes are available yet.